Policy Analysis and Research

Mercator helps clients evaluate the practical application of various finance approaches, such as concessions and tax credit bonds, and assists with the development of enabling legislation and public-private partnership programs. We have undertaken research and prepared reports for a broad array of government agencies and project sponsors.

Federal Highway Trust Fund Modeling

AASHTO has tasked Mercator Advisors with a series of special research projects related to federal funding and financing issues. One such project involves developing and operating a sophisticated financial model of the federal Highway Trust Fund (HTF). This model estimates the impact on future-year Highway Account and Mass Transit Account balances resulting from various assumptions concerning revenue and spending patterns. Drawing upon our knowledge of federal budgetary practices, Mercator has designed the model to quickly assess the impact of the latest revenue forecasts of the Treasury and the Congressional Budget Office, and differing federal program funding and spending levels. Mercator also assists AASHTO in developing its own forecast of receipts and modeling HTF scenarios implied by different legislative proposals.

National Surface Transportation Infrastructure Financing Commission

Mercator principal Bryan Grote was appointed to the National Surface Transportation Infrastructure Financing Commission (Finance Commission) in 2007 by the Ranking Member of the Senate Finance Committee. Congress established the Finance Commission under SAFETEA-LU to assess the HTF funding crisis and make recommendations to address the growing transportation infrastructure investment deficit. Specifically, the Finance Commission was charged with analyzing alternative approaches to funding and financing surface transportation infrastructure, and reporting back to Congress within two years (by April 2009).

The Finance Commission consists of 15 individuals from diverse backgrounds—economics, finance, government, industry, law, and public policy. In charting its course, the Finance Commission was mindful of the important work of the National Surface Transportation Policy and Revenue Study Commission (Policy Commission). Given the Policy Commission's thorough treatment of how investments should be prioritized and delivered, the Finance Commission focused its efforts primarily on the question of how revenues should be raised, including whether there are other mechanisms or funds that could augment the current means for funding and financing highway and transit infrastructure. The Finance Commission's final report, which was unanimously approved by the bipartisan appointees and is accessible through the link below, contains the following:

  • Principles for surface transportation funding and finance reform;
  • Investment needs and revenue forecasts;
  • Evaluation criteria that the Commission developed and the results of a preliminary screening of a comprehensive range of alternative funding mechanisms;
  • Results of in-depth analyses of motor fuel tax mechanisms, freight-related funding options, and facility-level tolling and broad-based pricing mechanisms;
  • Assessment of alternative financing approaches, including private-sector financial participation, that can help meet the investment challenge; and
  • Specific policy recommendations to help narrow the federal funding gap and transform the overall funding and finance framework for the nation's investment in surface transportation infrastructure.